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"The markets
got their Friday 13th shock early this year," said Matthew
Parry, an economist at Moody's Economy.com.
He attributed
gold's latest rally to "heavy speculative buying ahead of
the three-and-a-half-day holiday." Metals trading on the New
York Mercantile Exchange closed early ahead of Martin Luther
King's Day Monday. Regular trading will resume on Tuesday.
Gold for
February delivery traded as high as $558.80 an ounce on
Friday. The contract closed up $7.70 at $557, thereby
finishing nearly 2.9% above the week-ago close of $541.20.
"There
should be no doubt that gold remains in a secular bull
market," said Peter Grandich, editor of the Grandich letter.
"The
classic trading pattern of sustained rallies, followed by
brief periods of profit-taking, which are then followed by
an explosive move to the upside that squeezes the shorts
badly, has happened yet again," he added, noting that gold
reaching the $600 level "is a question of when, not if."
'One-sided' tug of war
The "tug of
war in gold's price rope is [almost] one-sided," said Jon
Nadler, an investment products analyst at bullion dealers
Kitco.com, with even those who are letting go of some gold
at current prices "not bailing out completely."
"There are
too many factors present in the current fundamentals, and
too many developing stories that will affect gold in coming
months for participants to afford ignoring," he elaborated,
including the resumption of nuclear research in Iran and
some Asian countries diverting assets away from the dollar.
For the
short run, prices may see a "possible assault on $560 on the
top side," Nadler added.
Looking
ahead, "on occasion, the party will look an awfully lot like
it has come to an end, but these will be mere ripples in the
tsunami that is the overall uptrend," he said.
Other
metals took their cue from gold's rally to close the Nymex
trading week.
March
silver closed up 10.5 cents at $9.165 an ounce, down
fractionally for the week, and March copper climbed to
$2.1125 a pound, gaining 2.5 cents to end the week 1.3%
higher. Prices tapped a record of $2.125 earlier.
April
platinum closed up $13.60 at $1,043.60 an ounce to mark its
highest level since 1980. Prices closed at $1,004.60 a week
ago, and so were up 3.9%.
March
palladium added $7.25 to close at $283.85 an ounce, ending
the week with a $10.45 gain.
On the
supply side, copper inventories were unchanged late
Wednesday at 7,762 short tons, according to Nymex. Gold
inventories were at 7.02 million troy ounces, up 9,116 troy
ounces, while silver lost 582,204 troy ounces to stand at
120 million. |